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Meta Explores Kalshi Acquisition Before Creating Its Own App

Meta engaged in talks to acquire Kalshi but chose to build a prediction market app instead. What this means for Kenyan players.

By Charlotte Mercer·03 July 2026·3 min read
Meta Considered Buying Kalshi Before Launching Prediction App

Meta, the tech giant steered by Mark Zuckerberg, initially looked into acquiring Kalshi before deciding to create its own prediction market application. The discussions with Kalshi's CEO took place last year but did not lead to a successful acquisition. Now, Meta is moving forward with its own prediction market technology, according to NPR.

Kalshi is a platform that enables users to trade on the probability of various events, functioning as a prediction market. In the UK, the regulatory framework is overseen by the UKGC, which typically supervises gambling-related activities. However, prediction markets like Kalshi are often classified differently, depending on their structure and operational model. Historically, players in the UK have not had much exposure to such markets, as they are more common in the US.

A spokesperson for Meta confirmed on 1 July: "While discussions with Kalshi were exploratory, we believe our own platform will deliver unique value and align with our strategic goals."

EntityYear DiscussedOutcome
Meta & KalshiLast YearNo acquisition
MetaCurrentDeveloping own app

What this means for Kenyan players

The development of Meta's new app indicates an expansion of available platforms for Kenyan players. Although it won't operate as a traditional casino, the integration of prediction markets offers a fresh way for those interested in wagering on outcomes. Kenyan players should remain cautious, as these new markets may not be regulated under the same stringent requirements as licensed platforms like those overseen by the BCLB.

In practical terms, Kenyan players should keep focusing on well-regulated casinos for their gambling activities. While Meta's prediction market might spark interest, it's crucial to remember that the regulatory protections provided by the BCLB may not exist in these new spaces.

Historical context and scale

While Meta's entrance into prediction markets is noteworthy, understanding the context is key. Interest in prediction markets has escalated in recent years, yet they remain a niche segment compared to the broader gambling landscape. The potential acquisition of Kalshi shows the strategic significance of these markets, but Meta's decision to develop an independent app rather than buying existing technology suggests it sees unique benefits in a proprietary model.

The financial dynamics of these markets are quite different from traditional casinos. For example, recent statistics show that Kenyan players are gravitating towards established platforms, which are subject to oversight by the BCLB, ensuring fair play and transparency. Betting on outcomes may appeal to some, but players should remember that popular casinos like those accepting M-Pesa are thoroughly regulated.

For those keen on exploring regulated casino options, you can check our recommendations for BCLB-licensed casinos at /best/bclb-casinos, securing a safe and compliant environment for your online gambling pursuits.

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Wanjiru Karanja
Wanjiru Karanja
Kenya Casino Editor
4Casinos tested
4Years in the niche
Why trust us? Wanjiru reports on the Kenyan online-casino and sportsbook market from Nairobi. Before joining the desk in 2022 she spent three years at a consumer-finance newsroom covering Mpesa, mobile money and the BCLB licensing regime, which is exactly the muscle this beat needs. She opens an account at every casino we recommend, funds it via Mpesa, plays, cashes out and publishes the exact times. Her focus: real Mpesa payout speed and which offshore casinos are honest with Kenyan players. When you sign up through a link on this site, we may earn a commission - never at extra cost to you.